Ensuring Rights and Choices amid Demographic Change

Highlights of the Regional Report on ICPD30

Introduction

The UN 1994 International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo set a bold new vision of the relationships between population, development, and individual rights and well-being. It recognized that population was not about numbers, but about people, and that individual dignity and human rights, including sexual and reproductive health and rights, are the basis for individual well-being and sustainable development.

Three decades later, as the international community has embarked on the review of the progress made towards the goals agreed in Cairo, the European region has profoundly changed. The report on ICPD implementation in the broader European region evaluates achievements and setbacks and highlights how recent crises have impacted longer-term trends in population and development. The report identifies areas where acceleration of efforts is required to realize individual and societal potential and highlights policy responses to both longstanding and emerging issues. It provides action-oriented recommendations towards advancing progress towards the ICPD goals in the context of evolving demographic, social, and economic realities in the broader European region.

The review indicates overall improvements in outcomes in most priority areas, but progress has continued to be uneven across the region and within countries. Recent setbacks in areas related to education and human capital, health, and the protection of vulnerable groups are concerning. Multiple and overlapping forms of inequality and discrimination continue to impede individuals from realizing their full potential, even in countries where most progress has been recorded. Evidence reflecting the impacts of the multiple crises faced by the region is not yet available for all areas and indicators, but available data point to exacerbated inequalities and recent disruptions to progress in several ICPD areas.

This report was prepared to inform the UNECE Regional Conference ‘Population and Development: Ensuring Rights and Choices’ on 19-20 October 2023 in Geneva. It will also inform the global ICPD30 review at the 57th session of the Commission on Population and Development in 2024.

This interactive version highlights key trends and findings from the regional ICPD30 report.

Changing demographic realities

© UNFPA Serbia/Jerome Sessini

The UNECE region remains at the forefront of the global demographic transition towards lower fertility rates and ageing populations. The region’s demographic trends have profound impacts on countries’ socio-economic trajectories, and how countries respond to the challenges – and opportunities – that come with demographic change determines to a significant extent their ability to thrive in the future. 

Read more in the full report about trends in

  • population numbers
  • fertility rates 
  • population ageing
  • migration
  • socio-economic development
Populations grow in some countries, shrink in others

Populations grow in some countries, shrink in others

The UNECE region now has a population of 1.3 billion, up 160 million from 1994, with a further increase of 40 million expected by 2050. Although 38 of the 56 countries in the region have a larger population today than in 1994, the other 18 countries, in Eastern and South-Eastern Europe, have seen their respective populations decline over the same period.

Fertility rates continue to decline

Fertility rates continue to decline

The total fertility rate in the UNECE region is 1.69 children per woman of reproductive age, down from 1.83 in 2015. At the same time, the trend towards later child-bearing continues, with the mean age of women giving birth for the first time now being close to 30 years.

Life expectancy continues to rise

Life expectancy continues to rise

Since 2015, the average life expectancy in the UNECE region has risen from 74.7 years to 76.2 years for men and from 80.9 years to 82.0 years for women. Regional variations remain, however. In Central Asia, life expectancy remains below 75.0 years for women and below 70.0 years for men. And in some countries in Eastern Europe — such as Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, the Republic of Moldova, the Russian Federation and Ukraine — women are outliving men by an average of nine years or more.

Population getting older

Population getting older

The population in the UNECE region continues to get older on average, with people 65 years and above accounting for 17.6 per cent of the region’s population, up from 15.2 per cent in 2015 and 12.4 per cent in 1994. Furthermore, the 65+ age group accounts for over 20 per cent of the population in 24 of the region’s 56 countries.

People are retiring later

People are retiring later

Between 2000 and 2020, the average age at which people exited the labour market increased from 60.2 years to 63.3 years for men and from 58.5 years to 62.5 years for women. Men continue to retire later than women, but the gender gap is narrowing.

Working-age population shrinking across most of region

Working-age population shrinking across most of region

The working-age population is shrinking everywhere in the region except in Central Asia, where it is still increasing and is expected to peak in 2040.

Lowest level of net migration since 1994

Lowest level of net migration since 1994

An average of 2.5 million people migrated to the UNECE region every year from 1994 to 2022, although there has been a sharp decrease since 2015, the peak of the Syrian refugee crisis, and net migration is currently at its lowest level since 1994. There is a considerable east–west divide, with many western countries experiencing positive net migration while many countries in the eastern part of the region are experiencing negative net migration. The three countries with the highest positive net migration since 2015 are the United States of America, the Russian Federation and Germany.

Population dynamics and sustainable development

© UNFPA Bosnia and Herzegovina/Amer Kapetanovic

Changing demographic dynamics in the region call for new and creative ways to fulfil individual potential and strengthen societies’ demographic resilience. For countries to be able to thrive amid demographic change it is key that they invest in human capital, remove barriers preventing people from fulfilling their potential, and make societies more inclusive, while staying attuned to what people themselves say they want and need to flourish.

Read more in the full report about trends in:

  • education and human capital development
  • health and well-being across the life course
  • migration

Stories on population issues

  • Family-friendly workplace policies help parents in Moldova reconcile work and family duties

    In the Republic of Moldova, the government and private sector have introduced a range of family-friendly policies to make it easier for women and men to reconcile career and family duties. Such policies are not only powerful tools to shift discriminatory gender norms and redistribute unpaid care work, they also make it easier to tackle the effects of demographic change.

    Full story

Families, sexual and reproductive health over the life course

© UNFPA Armenia/Jody Hilton

Progress in securing sexual and reproductive health and reproductive rights across the region has been mixed. Trends observed across the region underscore the need to change unfavourable societal environments, investing in programmes that fight gender inequality and harmful gender norms, reduce violence against women and girls, and empower women and girls to control their own sexual lives, access sexual and reproductive health care, and access respectful maternity care. These should be supported by strengthened efforts to promote SRH education and information, quality service delivery, and accessibility especially by those marginalized by societies.

Read more in the full report about trends in:

  • universal health coverage
  • maternal health
  • adolescent pregnancy
  • contraceptive prevalence
  • abortion
  • HIV
  • cervical cancer
Maternal mortality drops 45% since 2000

Maternal mortality drops 45% since 2000

In the two decades from 2000 to 2020, the maternal mortality ratio in the UNECE region dropped by just over 45 per cent, from an average of 22 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2000 to an average of 12 deaths per 100,000 live births 20 years later. That said, progress has slowed in a large part of the region, and the maternal mortality ratio increased between 2015 and 2020 in 18 of 52 countries for which data are available.

Contraceptive prevalence largely unchanged since 2000

Contraceptive prevalence largely unchanged since 2000

The median contraceptive prevalence (any method) among married or in-union women aged 15–49 in the UNECE region has increased only slightly since 2000, from 69.6 per cent to 70.6 per cent, while contraceptive prevalence has decreased in 12 countries in the region since 2015. In addition, more than half of the women in five countries — Albania, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, Montenegro and Tajikistan — do not use any form of contraception whatsoever.

Adolescent birth rates on the decline

Adolescent birth rates on the decline

Adolescent birth rates are generally declining across UNECE countries, with the average for the region dropping from 20 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 19 in 2000 to 16 in 2015 and just under 13 in 2020. There is wide variation across UNECE countries. In several high-income countries the adolescent birth rate is below 2 births per 1,000 women aged 15–19, while in Central Asia the average was 25 in 2020, and in some Eastern European countries rates are three to four times higher than the average for the region.

1 in 4 women lacks bodily autonomy

1 in 4 women lacks bodily autonomy

In 11 countries for which there are data — all in Eastern Europe and Central Asia — one in four women of reproductive age are unable to make autonomous decisions about access to sexual and reproductive health care, the use of contraceptives, or when and with whom to engage in sexual activity.

Comprehensive sexuality education required in only half of UNECE countries

Comprehensive sexuality education required in only half of UNECE countries

In 2022, only 28 of the UNECE region’s 56 countries reported having adopted policies requiring mandatory comprehensive sexuality education as part of their regular education curriculum or policy. Although this represents a 47 per cent increase from 2019 (19 countries), comprehensive sexuality education remains unavailable to young people in many countries.

HIV infections jump 49%

HIV infections jump 49%

Around 160,000 people were infected with HIV in Eastern Europe and Central Asia in 2022. This 49 per cent rise from 2010 was the largest increase recorded in any region in the world during this period.

Cervical cancer worse for women in Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Cervical cancer worse for women in Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Cervical cancer is the second-most-common cause of cancer-related mortality among women of reproductive age in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, where women are far less likely to be vaccinated against, and tested for, cervical cancer than their counterparts in Western Europe.

Stories on Sexual & Reproductive Health

  • Youth-friendly services scaling up in Kazakhstan, offering critical sexual and reproductive health care

    Kazakhstan has committed itself to improving sexual and reproductive health for all. The Central Asian country has developed laws to make it easier for adolescents and young adults to access the services and information they need.

    FULL STORY
  • Tackling inequalities in access to sexual and reproductive health in Armenia

    Armenia is working to ensure universal access to sexual and reproductive health and rights. Today, almost 100 per cent of births in Armenia take place in maternity hospitals, but more needs to be done to dismantle stigma and other barriers preventing the most vulnerable from accessing services.

    FULL STORY

Inequalities, social inclusion and rights

© UNFPA Türkiye

Advancing gender equality requires responses in the economic, social and political spheres as well as a transformation of gender and social norms. Across UNECE countries there has been progress over the last decades, but the region is far from on track to achieve gender equality by 2030. The social and economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic has derailed, halted and in some cases reversed progress in many areas, including gender-based violence, employment, and the gender division of unpaid care, and an acceleration of efforts is required to avoid long-lasting consequences for gender equality across the region.

Read more in the full report about trends in

  • women’s participation in decision-making and leadership positions
  • gender pay gaps
  • gender-based violence
  • discrimination, poverty and social exclusion
Gender-based violence remains regionwide problem

Gender-based violence remains regionwide problem

Gender-based violence remains pervasive across the UNECE region. In Eastern and South-Eastern Europe, for example, recent surveys in selected countries suggested that 30 per cent of women had experienced some form of violence in the year prior to the survey. Worryingly, in half of countries in the region with data, the percentage of individuals who believe that it is justifiable for a man to beat his wife has increased over time, and young people are generally more likely to agree that such violence can be justifiable.

Early marriage still practised in some countries

Early marriage still practised in some countries

Although early marriage is uncommon in most countries in the UNECE region, it remains worryingly high in some countries, with more than 10 per cent of women aged 20–24 years saying theyr were married before the age of 18 in Albania, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan and Türkiye.

Increases in length of paternity leave

Increases in length of paternity leave

Since 2015, in two-thirds of countries in the UNECE region with data there has been an increase in number of weeks for paid father-specific leave, with notable increases in Spain, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Netherlands, and Norway. In Eastern Europe and Central Asia, while fathers can generally take some time off after the birth of their child, many get less than 10 days and often not at full pay.

Stories on inequalities, social inclusion and rights

  • Melting the ice of gender stereotypes in Georgia

    Georgia decided to make engaging men a priority in efforts to achieve gender equality. Now, social norms around the roles of men and women in childcare and the household have begun to shift.

    Full story
  • “Once the door opens slightly, the rest is easy”

    Child marriage is still common in parts of Türkiye, especially among poorer people and in rural areas. With UNFPA support, health mediators, some married as children themselves, go from door to door in their communities to speak with parents, officials and tradespeople about the dangers of early marriage and what they can do to stop the harmful practice.

    FULL STORY

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